Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.001726 0.001838 0.001954 0.002083 0.002223 0.002370 0.002536
2025-01-26 0.001502 0.001653 0.001816 0.002004 0.002217 0.002452 0.002730
2025-02-02 0.001425 0.001609 0.001813 0.002058 0.002346 0.002673 0.003078
2025-02-09 0.001358 0.001565 0.001802 0.002093 0.002445 0.002860 0.003389
2025-02-16 0.001333 0.001566 0.001837 0.002180 0.002606 0.003122 0.003802
2025-02-23 0.001270 0.001514 0.001805 0.002180 0.002656 0.003247 0.004048
2025-03-02 0.001184 0.001429 0.001726 0.002116 0.002620 0.003258 0.004144
2025-03-09 0.001118 0.001365 0.001669 0.002073 0.002606 0.003295 0.004272
2025-03-16 0.001075 0.001328 0.001643 0.002069 0.002640 0.003394 0.004485
2025-03-23 0.001028 0.001283 0.001604 0.002044 0.002645 0.003450 0.004641
2025-03-30 0.000990 0.001247 0.001575 0.002032 0.002664 0.003527 0.004827
2025-04-06 0.000949 0.001205 0.001536 0.002003 0.002657 0.003564 0.004957
2025-04-13 0.000909 0.001167 0.001505 0.001988 0.002677 0.003652 0.005183
2025-04-20 0.000850 0.001100 0.001431 0.001911 0.002606 0.003605 0.005205
2025-04-27 0.000839 0.001099 0.001448 0.001962 0.002721 0.003836 0.005670
2025-05-04 0.000824 0.001090 0.001452 0.001995 0.002810 0.004034 0.006097
2025-05-11 0.000825 0.001104 0.001490 0.002077 0.002977 0.004360 0.006758
2025-05-18 0.000800 0.001081 0.001472 0.002076 0.003017 0.004487 0.007096
2025-05-25 0.000760 0.001033 0.001417 0.002016 0.002959 0.004456 0.007156
2025-06-01 0.000728 0.000996 0.001377 0.001976 0.002932 0.004471 0.007297
2025-06-08 0.000708 0.000976 0.001360 0.001972 0.002962 0.004580 0.007616
2025-06-15 0.000684 0.000949 0.001332 0.001948 0.002958 0.004634 0.007834
2025-06-22 0.000664 0.000928 0.001312 0.001937 0.002974 0.004719 0.008117